The Leg Up: Belmont Preview – Saturday 14 September 2019

0

Race 1 – 12:03PM FREE ENTRY TO BELMONT PARK PLATE (1400 METRES)

Found it hard to separate MY FAIR BALENTINE and BELLE OF LIBERTY, but eventually locked in My Fair Balentine. Had the class to get herself out of a jam when saluting as a $1.65 fave over this track/distance last time and gives the impression she can elevate even further with additional race experience. With galloping room late, she’s going to be hard to hold out. Belle Of Liberty was gunned down by a smart one in Born To Try last time and lost no admirers in defeat. Should lead and take some catching. MOAMA ROSE is building nicely and should land outside leader, while RIO ROGUE shows promise.

Tips: 4-3-6-1
Suggested: 4. MY FAIR BALENTINE win.

4. MY FAIR BALENTINE
3. BELLE OF LIBERTY
6. MOAMA ROSE
1. RIO ROGUE

Race 2 – 12:38PM TABTOUCH – BETTER YOUR BET HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

Tough race to assess and six of the seven acceptors could win without surprising, but WESTERN TEMPLE does appear to get the perfect opportunity to end a significant losing streak. Reared and lost his rider when resuming two weeks back, but looked in good order with the brow-band on when strolling to a mid-prep Lark Hill 9/9 trial win. With a patient ride in this small field, he can swoop over the top late. MISSILE LAUNCH had genuine excuses last time and he’ll appreciate the Good 4 surface. FRIAR FOX is expected to run a race fresh, while TAXAGANO is tough and honest and has McNaught on board.

Tips: 2-3-4-1
Suggested: 2. WESTERN TEMPLE win.

2. WESTERN TEMPLE
3. MISSILE LAUNCH
4. FRIAR FOX
1. TAXAGANO

Race 3 – 1:17PM RIDE LIKE A GIRL MAIDEN (1600 METRES)

This looks the race for JOVELLA. Supporters were in the queue two back before being nailed late and she didn’t have the best of runs when dropping back to 1200m last Saturday. Ready for the mile now at this stage of her prep and is obviously race-hardened with this being her third start in 14 days. Should get it done. AMILLIONITE has been knocking on the door all campaign, but just can’t break through. Blinkers go on again and she has to warrant consideration in a thin race. No surprise to see sharp improvement from OSIPOVA, while SON OF THE SUN has to be a top-four contender.

Tips: 5-4-9-1
Suggested: 5. JOVELLA win.

5. JOVELLA
4. AMILLIONITE
9. OSIPOVA
1. SON OF THE SUN

Race 4 – 1:57PM COLIN TEEDE 80TH BIRTHDAY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

TRUMP THIS is going to take some beating. The Victorian import showed significant potential during his initial WA campaign and was a bit stiff not to salute first up 24/8 when held up at a vital stage in the straight. The Regal Counsel formline reads well also, and with even luck he’ll be too strong late. WA Derby placegetter COCKNEY CREW makes his 4YO return and stretched out stylishly in a Lark Hill 2/9 trial. Class horse, expected to make his presence felt. LOCOMOTIVE rises in grade, but certainly looks capable of measuring up, while SCINTILLATING is racing too well to ignore.

Tips: 4-1-2-7
Suggested: 4. TRUMP THIS win.

4. TRUMP THIS
1. COCKNEY CREW
2. LOCOMOTIVE
7. SCINTILLATING

Race 5 – 2:37PM BRADLEY MCGUINNESS 60TH BIRTHDAY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

Been all aboard the HEAVENLY AFFAIR wagon and can’t jump off now, with the up-and-coming mare full of confidence after three straight midweek wins. Is becoming more tractable every time she goes to the races and Lucy Warwick has a good understanding of her now. Is getting deep into her campaign, but if she can hold her peak she should win again. KIA ORA STAR was massive first up, so no surprise to see a flat second-up performance. Can’t rebound quickly up to 1600m off 21 days. Likely leader NEXT STOP THE MOON should control the race and give a kick, while the tough ABBY LANE must be respected.

Tips: 1-4-3-2
Suggested: 1. HEAVENLY AFFAIR win.

1. HEAVENLY AFFAIR
4. KIA ORA STAR
3. NEXT STOP THE MOON
2. ABBY LANE

Race 6 – 3:18PM GLADYS & BEVAN MCINERNEY 70TH WEDDING ANNIVERSARY HANDICAP (2000 METRES)

This is a terrific test for emerging stayer TOO CLOSE THE SUN and confident he can handle this company. The half-brother to G1 winner Trap For Fools only won a Class 1 Hcp last time, but had to overcome difficulties in running and showed some quality in the process. On a steep learning curve, but deserves an opportunity at this level and looks suited at the weights with Pike on board. BUNKER BUSTER will be very hard to beat though, coming off a strong fresh mile win last start. Will have a heap of admirers. MR ALBY comes back in class, while NOT AGAIN KEN is racing well enough to consider.

Tips: 5-2-1-4
Suggested: 5. TOO CLOSE THE SUN win.

5. TOO CLOSE THE SUN
2. BUNKER BUSTER
1. MR ALBY
4. NOT AGAIN KEN

Race 7 – 3:55PM CRAIG NORWELL 50TH BIRTHDAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

There’s a heap of genuine winning chances in this and a heap of early speed also, and this faster-than-average tempo should set the race up nicely for William Pike and COLOURFUL CHLOE. Nothing went right for her first up, when wide throughout, but maps to enjoy a sweet run in transit from a low draw. and expecting her to give this a shake. The unbeaten PROCONSENT is clearly above average and can certainly win again. BEL MY PAGO probably should be two from two this prep and both her and GRAND DESIGN should be swooping late, while possible leader RECHARGER is racing well enough to figure.

Tips: 10-4-7-11
Suggested: 10. COLOURFUL CHLOE each way.

10. COLOURFUL CHLOE
4. PROCONSENT
7. BEL MY PAGO
11. GRAND DESIGN
9. RECHARGER

Race 8 – 4:30PM FARNLEY STAKES (1400 METRES)

Rock-solid edition of the Farnley Stakes and anticipating a bold showing from eastern-states import TAMASA. Was doing his best work late first up in WA two back and was brave from barrier 15 with a junior rider on board last start, showing some depth to box on late. Blinkers going on third up is a sign of intent and if Randy Tan can keep him out of trouble, Tamasa goes close. The big-finishing TELLEM WE’RE COMIN looks ready to cut loose first up. Look out for him launching late. SNOWCHINO is flying and can handle this company, while MULTIVERSE and VARIATION both have to be considered.

Tips: 4-12-8
Suggested: 4. TELLEM WE’RE COMIN win.

4. TELLEM WE’RE COMIN
12. SNOWCHINO
8. MULTIVERSE
2. VARIATION

*Numbers amended after Final Scarcthings

Race 9 – 5:10PM CROWN PERTH HANDICAP (1000 METRES)

Tough 1000m dash to finish up, but fast front-runner MERVYN could run them off their feet, especially if the track is suiting leaders. Is coming off a 77-day break, so will be nice and fresh, but the results the Kalgoorlie-based Fernie camp have been producing recently suggests this fellow will be ready to let rip. Fellow first-upper MOLTEN has to be a major player also. Strapping type and should work forward into a suitable running position. STAGEMAN is all class, but has a high draw to contend with, while get back/run on types DANNY GEORGE and MY DEMI should both be hitting the line hard.

Tips: 3-6-2-7
Suggested: 3. MERVYN each way.

3. MERVYN
6. MOLTEN
2. STAGEMAN
7. DANNY GEORGE
9. MY DEMI

**This edition of #TheLegUp by @thoroheadsWA originally published at 7:00am on Thursday 12 September 2019

Comments

comments

Share.

About Author

thoroheads

Expert Online Content Provider for the Western Australian Thoroughbred Horse Racing Industry

Comments are closed.