The Leg Up: Belmont Preview – Wednesday 14 August 2019

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Race 1 – 12:39PM FREE ENTRY TO BELMONT PARK MAIDEN (1000 METRES)

Locking in first-starter RETURN TO OZ on top. Is coming off two good Lark Hill 950m trial wins and really liked the way he attacked the line in his most-recent 5/8 heat. Has the gate speed to make the most of a low draw and expecting him to make an impact on debut. ANGEL JUPITER has nice Proconsent form and boxed on quite well after racing three-wide no cover at Northam last time. HIDDEN PLANET has looked the goods with two sharp recent Lark Hill trial wins and will be looking to find the rail in front from the outside alley, while REAL BEAUTY has a superb pedigree and warrants consideration.

Tips: 4-5-8-10
Suggested: 4. RETURN TO OZ win.

4. RETURN TO OZ
5. ANGEL JUPITER
8. HIDDEN PLANET
10. REAL BEAUTY

Race 2 – 1:14PM TABTOUCH – BETTER YOUR BET MAIDEN (1200 METRES)

Hard not to notice the recent Lark Hill trial win from AMELIA’S CONTRAIRE and she’s the one to beat first up. Well regarded as a juvenile when not quite hit her straps in two starts, but looked a different horse with the blinkers on in her 5/8 heat, leading and winning under a hold. With a clean getaway she should find the rail in front and control things from there. EURASIA boxed on well first up and looks capable of elevating further over the 1200m. Maps to advantage also. JARMAN has trialled the house down for his new stable recently, while SHERPA LASS looked smart in her 29/7 trial win.

Tips: 10-8-9-6
Suggested: 10. AMELIA’S CONTRAIRE win.

10. AMELIA’S CONTRAIRE
8. EURASIA
9. MY FAIR BALENTINE
6. GREY DANCER

*Numbers amended after Final Scratchings

Race 3 – 1:49PM PRIVE FASHION PLATFORM HANDICAP (2200 METRES)

Have time for the progressive BLACK RUSSIAN and he looks strong enough to carry 58kg to victory in his first attempt over 2200m. Faced an acid test in better company last start and gave a good account of himself, with the form out of that race stacking up particularly well, and that 2000m hit out should give him a solid platform for this assignment. BEAT THE BELL was brave when boxing on after enduring a torrid run in transit last time. Distance is the query though. Likely leader UNCLE LINO was well backed last time and it may pay to follow the money, while PICTURE PERFECT is next best.

Tips: 1-4-2-3
Suggested: 1. BLACK RUSSIAN win.

1. BLACK RUSSIAN
4. BEAT THE BELL
2. UNCLE LINO
3. PICTURE PERFECT

Race 4 – 2:24PM ASCOT RACING CARNIVAL HANDICAP (2200 METRES)

No surprise to see FRIAR AWAY take it right up to likely short-priced fave SUGAR CAIN. Friar Away has been racing himself back to peak form and was really strong late in a higher-graded 2000m event last time, which has proven to be a good form reference. Does rise to 59.5kg, but with a patient ride he can fight out the finish. Sugar Cain looks the obvious horse to beat, but only just scrambled home at Northam last time and the 59.5kg is a test. Don’t underestimate CHENERY RED who almost pulled off a mini-plunge when leading last start, while SAN CRISPINO is race fit and in form.

Tips: 1-2-7-9
Suggested: 1. FRIAR AWAY each way.

1. FRIAR AWAY
2. SUGAR CAIN
7. CHENERY RED
9. SAN CRISPINO

Race 5 – 2:59PM GLENROY CHAFF HANDICAP (1700 METRES)

Expecting likely leader ONYA HEAD to take some catching. Was stretched out to 2000m last time, and competed well behind Regent Star and Melteme, with those formlines reading nicely. Will appreciate coming back to this trip and should be able to dictate terms out in front. Fellow on-pacer BLOOMY’S SUN was brave at Northam last start when tramping three-wide no cover on top of a searing early tempo. Has to be considered on that effort. SCINTILLATING has excuses and should’ve finished closer first up, while BEANIE ran into traffic issues last start and should enjoy the rise to 1700m.

Tips: 2-9-4-1
Suggested: 2. ONYA HEAD win.

2. ONYA HEAD
9. BLOOMY’S SUN
4. SCINTILLATING
1. BEANIE

Race 6 – 3:39PM FURPHY HANDICAP (1700 METRES)

Happy to stick with HEAVENLY AFFAIR. Had her on top when she was a good thing beat two back and again last time, when nailed right on the line by Divine Shadow and beating home subsequent winner Lookout. 60kg at her first 1700m outing is a query, but has class on her side and gets it soft in transit from the low draw. MELTEME hasn’t done a lot wrong recently also and has been a bit stiff not have saluted. Expected to push forward from the high draw and will give a sight from there. ARSINOE and CHAMPAGNE GAL were knocked out of contention via interference last start and both can play a part.

Tips: 1-2-5-6
Suggested: 1. HEAVENLY AFFAIR win.

1. HEAVENLY AFFAIR
2. MELTEME
5. ARSINOE
6. CHAMPAGNE GAL

Race 7 – 4:15PM WELCOME BACK BRAD PARNHAM HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

Has some real issues at the start, but if PALACHINO can be within striking distance on straightening, she has the closing speed to get the job done. Overcame another poor beginning to get within a half-length of Divine Shadow last time and the Lookout form emerging from that race stacks up. With a reasonable getaway for new rider Chris Parnham she goes close. Likely leader PERCEIVE comes through the same race as Palachino and has to be a major player in this. MAGIC PLANET never saw daylight last time so no surprise to see him figure, while ABBY LANE looks suited back in grade with blinkers on.

Tips: 9-7-4-8
Suggested: 9. PALACHINO each way.

9. PALACHINO
7. PERCEIVE
4. MAGIC PLANET
8. ABBY LANE

Race 8 – 4:55PM AMELIA PARK HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Difficult race to close and ended up speculating on ORAVA first up. Showed significant potential during his initial racing campaign and was a bit stiff to run into the likes of Peters Investments fillies Western Pride and Inspirational Girl at his last time. Maps awkwardly from the draw, but if he can get cover tracking an anticipated genuine tempo he gives this a shake. Didn’t mind the second-up effort from PEARL GIRL and looks just about ready to peak, while POINT TAKEN and STRASMORE should both roll forward from high draw and figure prominently in the finish.

Tips: 3-6-9-2
Suggested: 3. ORAVA each way.

3. ORAVA
6. PEARL GIRL
5. STRASMORE
2. DAWN ARMADA

*Numbers amended after Final Scratchings

**This edition of #TheLegUp by @thoroheadsWA originally published at 3:00pm on Monday 12 August 2019

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thoroheads

Expert Online Content Provider for the Western Australian Thoroughbred Horse Racing Industry

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