The Leg Up: Belmont Preview – Thursday 21 May 2020

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Race 1 – 12:12PM PERTH RACING AT HOME MAIDEN HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Rolling with THE ITALIAN JOB first up. Was stuff not to win on debut back on Boxing Day and was a $2.60 chance against subsequent multiple stakes winner Money Matters at his last outing prior to a break, so that SP profile appears significant. Lead-up barrier trial was a touch plain and does have a sticky draw to overcome, but if right he should still find a way. First starter ASTARBA wasn’t knocked around in his Belmont 11/05 trial and maps ideally from this low alley. DUSTYPARK and OCEAN CANDY have been thereabouts this prep and this is a nice option for both of them, while first-upper BRIARIC could find the front and show some cheek.

Tips: 1-2-9-10
Suggested: 1. THE ITALIAN JOB win.

1. THE ITALIAN JOB
2. ASTARBA
9. DUSTYPARK
10. OCEAN CANDY
11. BRIARIC

Race 2 – 12:47PM GOURMET TAKEAWAY MAIDEN HANDICAP (1000 METRES)

Looks the right race for SHAPE SHIFTER to break through. Was resuming from a spell over this track/distance to this last week and finishing right on the heels of far superior opposition to what she’s facing in this. Maps to enjoy a similar stalking position in running and only has to hold form to score. TOVARICH has been competing well from awkward draws recently and has another one to contend with, although the Belmont 1000m circuit is kinder than the Ascot version. Looks a genuine threat. Anticipating front-running tactics from NO DEMERIT POINTS, while first-upper PROTECTED ACTION will be doing his best work late.

Tips: 8-1-2-3
Suggested: 8. SHAPE SHIFTER win.

8. SHAPE SHIFTER
1. TOVARICH
2. NO DEMERIT POINTS
3. PROTECTED ACTION

Race 3 – 1:22PM AMELIA PARK HANDICAP (1000 METRES)

THE WITCH DOCTOR has been sidelined for over a year now, but this does look a suitable assignment for her to commence a comeback campaign. Showed plenty in the past, with formlines against some decent opposition, and looked sharp enough tracking the extra smart Indian Pacific home in a Belmont 11/05 trial. Always a tough task after such a long layoff, but she does have the class to impact. A fresh ALCINA could give this a shake also, with her best form certainly standing out. MISS MERIT will take some beating again, while SECRET ASSAULT is well placed back in grade and jumping from a low draw.

Tips: 5-9-2-1
Suggested: 5. THE WITCH DOCTOR win.

5. THE WITCH DOCTOR
9. ALCINA
2. MISS MERIT
1. SECRET ASSAULT
11. THE BEACH

Race 4 – 1:57PM BUDGET CAR & TRUCK RENTAL HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

SOULSANA looks just about ready to hit his straps. Back in the West after a Victorian campaign, this fellow has been building in three outings this prep and will relish dropping into the grade, especially considering the standard of opposition he’s faced recently. Well placed and ready to peak. Anticipating a strong first-up effort from PRAYING WITH GOD, who was readied for this with a Belmont 11/05 trial blow out. Has a nice draw and best form stacks up. METALLIC QUEEN has run some big races this prep and this is the easiest assignment she’s faced in a while, and expecting more competitive showings from both MASSA MAC and SUN POWER.

Tips: 3-8-7-2
Suggested: 3. SOULSANA win.

3. SOULSANA
8. PRAYING WITH GOD
7. METALLIC QUEEN
2. MASSA MAC
4. SUN POWER

Race 5 – 2:35PM CROWN TOWERS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Practicing forgiveness by locking in I’M ICEY on top. Was quite keen on him at Ascot last Wednesday and the market agreed ($4.60 to $3.20), but he short-circuited after being bustled early and not finding the lead, proving extremely hard to handle for Steve Parnham. This high draw will prove more suitable and this field is inferior to what he faced last week, so happy to give I’m Icey another chance. FOXY ROYALE is on the quick back up after an even effort against a stronger line up than this last week. Has to be considered, as does MISS HARLEY QUINN and LITTLE FLIRT following their recent strong Bunbury results.

Tips: 3-4-1-9
Suggested: 3. I’M ICEY win.

3. I’M ICEY
4. FOXY ROYALE
1. MISS HARLEY QUINN
9. LITTLE FLIRT

Race 6 – 3:10PM SCHWEPPES HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Happy to be on board with POINT TAKEN. Was a decisive winner over this journey at Ascot three starts ago, had absolutely no luck when a $3 fave two back and was unsuited over 1100m last time, but this looks a much better option for her. Should get the right run from this draw, gets 3kg off her back and looks hard to beat. Blinkers go on DANI BELLA for her fourth-up assignment and anticipating positive tactics from the high draw. Stable is in form and this mare warrants consideration. WHIM CREEK is promising but the 38 days between runs is a slight query, while DE PLACE maps well down on 55kg.

Tips: 3-2-5-10
Suggested: 3. POINT TAKEN win.

3. POINT TAKEN
2. DANI BELLA
5. WHIM CREEK
10. DE PLACE

Race 7 – 3:45PM SEACORP HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

Could be the day for ADRIAN MAKFI. Hasn’t won for 484 days, but his recent form in much stronger assignments than this has been very strong and he’s really been running for claiming apprentice Kristy Bennett. Expecting to see Adrian Makfi sent forward from the outside alley and with a reasonable run in transit, should be able to tough it out late. ROMAN FLIRT will have plenty of fans considering the ease of her last-start maiden win, as well as Pike being from from a low draw. Has to be considered. Honest mare SAN CRISPINO is well placed at this level, while stablemates BOMBAY STYLE and ALTAMONT are contenders also.

Tips: 5-7-3-10
Suggested: 5. ADRIAN MAKFI win.

5. ADRIAN MAKFI
7. ROMAN FLIRT
3. SAN CRISPINO
10. ALTAMONT
*Numbers amended after scratchings

Race 8 – 4:15PM TABTOUCH BETTER YOUR BET HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

STOCKYARD GOSSIP looks to get her chance. Racing really well in better company than this of late and last Wednesday she really should’ve finished top three, when encountering significant traffic issues in the straight. Kept out of trouble by Jade McNaught, Stockyard Gossip should be saluting. INTERSTATE box-seated and won well last start and is set to enjoy a similar passage in transit from gate one. Stablemate DISCOVILLE looks just about ready to show something, while MR UNDERCOVER and IS A BOMBSHELL are both good enough to impact at their best.

Tips: 3-2-1-5
Suggested: 3. STOCKYARD GOSSIP win.

3. STOCKYARD GOSSIP
2. INTERSTATE
1. DISCOVILLE
5. MR UNDERCOVER
7. IS A BOMBSHELL

Race 9 – 4:45PM VALE MISTY AFFAIR HANDICAP (2000 METRES)

Confident the winner will come from UNENDING or CELTIC DIVA, and narrowly opting to side with Unending. On the quick back up after a Belmont 2200m placing last week, this mare should enjoy an economical run in transit and the 2kg allowance enhances her claims also. With an uninterrupted passage she should prove hard to hold out. Celtic Diva is holding career-best form and should’ve almost won her last three outings. Will have to come from near last to win though. DEEP PURPLE wasn’t far away last week and the blinkers go on, while stablemates FLYING TARGET and BLAISZEN CAZAH map to advantage and should figure prominently.

Tips: 3-4-11-9
Suggested: 3. UNENDING win.

3. UNENDING
4. CELTIC DIVA
11. DEEP PURPLE
9. FLYING TARGET
10. BLAISZEN CAZAH

**This edition of #TheLegUp by @thoroheadsWA originally published at 7:00am on Wednesday 20 May 2020

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thoroheads

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