The Leg Up: Belmont Preview – Saturday 15 August 2020

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Race 1 – 11:47AM TABTOUCH WESTSPEED PLATINUM MAIDEN (1400 METRES)

Not a lot to get excited about with this maiden to kick off proceedings, but the safe play does look to be TRADE FAIR EXPRESS. Elevated significantly with Jason Whiting back in the saddle second up at Pinjarra 6/08 and from this low draw may even find himself in front in a race that lacks a natural leader. Has had his share of chances already, but this is another terrific opportunity for Trade Fair Express to break through. First-starter MIAMI CITY is coming off a decent Lark Hill trial win on Monday and is expected to make his presence felt, while the likes of TIME STARTS NOW and BELAFONTE BOY appear genuine top-four chances also.

Tips: 1-5-3-4
Suggested: 1. TRADE FAIR EXPRESS win.

1. TRADE FAIR EXPRESS
5. MIAMI CITY
3. TIME STARTS NOW
6. FIRE GODDESS
*Numbers amended after scratchings

Race 2 – 12:27PM LONG LEAF AT RANGEVIEW STUD PLATE (1200 METRES)

Mouth-watering clash between boom filly CLAIRVOYANCE and established star WATCH ME DANCE, and the tuned up Clairvoyance holds the advantage over a resuming Watch Me Dance. Clairvoyance rated through the roof in her jaw-dropping 1000-metre win two weeks ago and looks set to find the front and dominate again. Maintaining a peak is difficult for youngsters, but even a slight drop off should see her salute. Watch Me Dance has an eye towards the spring/summer features, so perhaps isn’t fully wound up, but she’s high-class and if there’s any chinks in the favourite’s armour, she’s good enough to pounce. KEEP YOUR FEET and AGENT KENSINGTON will be jostling for third.

Tips: 2-1-3-5
Suggested: 2. CLAIRVOYANCE win.

2. CLAIRVOYANCE
1. WATCH ME DANCE
3. KEEP YOUR FEET
5. AGENT KENSINGTON

Race 3 – 1:07PM AMELIA PARK LODGE HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

SNOWCHINO can find the front and prove very hard to get past. Felt as though she competed well over an unsuitable 1000m when resuming in the New Season Sprint two weeks back, and expecting her to elevate significantly up in trip and down in class. Apprentice Chloe Azzopardi does her best work when leading and Snowchino’s wet-track form is impressive. As always, SERENITY BAY will be very hard to beat and while she only just got there last start, she won’t have to come from last on this occasion. NOT TO BE MIST fired up early over the mile last start and didn’t finish off, so anticipating more patient riding tactics, while it’s hard to fault the recent efforts of POSITION OF POWER.

Tips: 1-6-2-5
Suggested: 1. SNOWCHINO win.

1. SNOWCHINO
6. SERENITY BAY
2. NOT TO BE MIST
5. POSITION OF POWER

Race 4 – 1:47PM CROWN PERTH HANDICAP (2000 METRES)

Was keen PRINCE TURBO last week and may have been one run early. Landed in the right spot and had his chance to win, but it was a high-pressure mile event so he should have the right platform to launch stepping up to 2000m fourth up. Gets an economical run from this draw, well weighted on 55kg and this really looks his race. Tough on-pacer NOIR DE RUE is 28 days between runs but can never be underestimated in these events. BURNING PRIDE has won seven races now, each of them with William Pike on board, so Jarrad Noske has his work cut out, while THE BIG SHOW has obvious issues but is really talented and Darren McAuliffe is capable of getting him ready to impact first up over 2000m.

Tips: 7-2-4-1
Suggested: 7. PRINCE TURBO win.

7. PRINCE TURBO
2. NOIR DE RUE
4. BURNING PRIDE
1. THE BIG SHOW

Race 5 – 2:23PM MRS MAC’S HANDICAP (1650 METRES)

This is a thin race and with even luck in running, MONTELENA should simply win again. Has always looked the goods and while she lost her way a touch, got the confidence-boosting win she was looking for late start, appreciating a quieter steer from Chris Parnham. Like the strength she showed late on that occasion and she certainly stands out in this. ACONITE was brave in defeat behind Montelena two weeks back, when wide throughout and still finishing second. Senior rider goes back on and she looks the only real danger to the fave. STORMY RULER and WEE RIPPER come through the same Northam 30/07 race and are both top-four contenders.

Tips: 4-2-3-11
Suggested: 4. MONTELENA win.

4. MONTELENA
2. ACONITE
3. STORMY RULER
11. WEE RIPPER

Race 6 – 3:05PM HAPPY 60TH BIRTHDAY RON GAJEWSKI HANDICAP (1000 METRES)

Tricky dash with a host of chances, and ended up rolling with WEAPONSON. Has performed well on the rain-affected at two runs this prep and was set to be a major player at the Belmont 5/08 meeting, but was a late scratching after a float mishap. Trusting the Harrison yard to have him good to go now and with the senior rider going on, Weaponson should be going close. Shaun McGruddy back on ROUND THE POINT is another positive riding change, as is the return to this distance. Jumps, rolls and boxes on. NSW import SUPER EX was plunged at his WA debut and got there by a whisker. Will have a heap of admirers again, while EEYORE WAYZ and MY LAINA will both be doing their best work late.

Tips: 4-8-2-7
Suggested: 4. WEAPONSON each way.

4. WEAPONSON
8. ROUND THE POINT
2. SUPER EX
7. EEYORE WAYZ
12. MY LAINA

Race 7 – 3:45PM HEINEKEN-BELMONT NEWMARKET (1200 METRES)

All eyes will be on FREE TRADE as he makes his return to the track. Made the transition to black-type racing seamlessly with commanding Pinjarra Classic and Bunbury Stakes wins, and looked in terrific order in both Belmont lead-up trial wins. Free Trade is a serious thoroughbred and he should simply find the front and comfortably control proceedings from there. FLOYD was excellent in his New Season Sprint victory two weeks back and has a strong 1200m listed-race profile. Not sure he can knock off the fave though. Stablemate LOCKROY was super-brave behind Red Can Man in the Bolton Sprint, while PYM’S ROYALE was jumping out of the ground late first up in the same race.

Tips: 1-4-2-8
Suggested: 1. FREE TRADE win.

1. FREE TRADE
2. LOCKROY
8. PYM’S ROYALE
3. ESSENTIAL SPICE
*Numbers amended after scratchings

Race 8 – 4:25PM VALE MARJORIE CHARLESON HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Going again with CLIFFS OF COMFORT. Thought he had the class to win when resuming over 1000m and although swamped late, the run was full of merit and expecting him to come forward significantly. Either leads or sit outside MIA DOLCE, but regardless he’s going to be mighty hard to get past. JERICHO MISSILE is a weapon and reminded everyone of his capabilities when very stiff not to win the New Season Sprint second up. Good opportunity for apprentice Laqdar Ramoly, but won’t be an easy steer. SILKINIZE was dynamite with Pike on board last start and must be respected again, WHY CHOOSE HER put the writing on the wall last time, while BEL MY PAGO likes the wet and 54kg suits.

Tips: 12-2-10-5
Suggested: 12. CLIFFS OF COMFORT win.

12. CLIFFS OF COMFORT
2. JERICHO MISSILE
10. SILKINIZE
5. WHY CHOOSE HER
11. BEL MY PAGO

Race 9 – 5:05PM GO RACING FOR FREE BEFORE THE FOOTY HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

This is a tough ask for those looking to “get out” but was really impressed with the way ANNIHILATOR disposed of his rivals last start and thinking that form can hold up at this level. The high draw is obviously not ideal, especially considering the favours he got from gate one last time, but trusting Brad Parnham to make the right moves and with even luck Annihilator gives this a nudge. INFLATION will be well found by the market, as he maps to lead and is coming off a placing at a higher level last start. DEVOTED STAR maps rearwards but has the closing speed to make things interesting, while natural on-pacers OHBEEH and PATROCITY have to be considered also.

Tips: 4-5-10-6
Suggested: 4. ANNIHILATOR each way.

4. ANNIHILATOR
5. INFLATION
10. DEVOTED STAR
6. OHBEEH
12. PATROCITY

**This edition of #TheLegUp by @thoroheadsWA originally published at 7:00am on Thursday 13 August 2020

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thoroheads

Expert Online Content Provider for the Western Australian Thoroughbred Horse Racing Industry

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