The Leg Up: Ascot Preview – Saturday 9 November 2019

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Race 1 – 12:18PM CBRE SUPPORTS CYSTIC FIBROSIS PLATE (1100 METRES)

If Dion Luciani can hold precocious filly TOO SPICY together for one more run, she should be too good again. Stiff when beaten a lip on debut before a dominant win two weeks back, so she certainly has the score on the board. With even luck from gate one, McNaught should guide her to victory. Stablemate OUR DANNI looms as the major danger, having impressed with two lead-up 400m trial wins. May find the front with Pike on and take some catching. 28 days between runs not ideal for STARFIELD IMPACT, but she was gallant on debut, while no surprise to see GALAHAD push hard for a top-four finish.

Tips: 1-9-5-3
Suggested: 1. TOO SPICY win.

1. TOO SPICY
9. OUR DANNI
5. STARFIELD IMPACT
3. GALAHAD

Race 2 – 12:58PM TABTOUCH – BETTER YOUR BET HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

FORCEFUL stands out. Felt he was only plain second up, but the brilliant Team Williams operation got him back on track last start with a super 1800m result, taking it right up to rising staying star Cockney Crew. This looks a low-pressure affair and with a nice smother in transit, he really should steamroll these late. Fellow Peters Investments runner MIDNIGHT SKY can improve significantly second up. Mid-prep Bunbury trial effort was good and is suited carrying 53kg. Likely leader HARRY THOMAS got that elusive win last time and always competes, while RED PUBLISHER will appreciate this grade.

Tips: 2-6-4-1
Suggested: 2. FORCEFUL win.

2. FORCEFUL
6. MIDNIGHT SKY
4. HARRY THOMAS
1. RED PUBLISHER

Race 3 – 1:43PM HEMPONICS AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

Locking in WESTERN TEMPLE to make it two on the trot. Easily disposed of his opposition this track/distance last start and while it was his first win in 581 days, he did have genuine excuses not to win his two previous outings, so his form has been rock solid. With a suitable faster-than-average tempo anticipated, this looks set up nicely for him to get cover from a low draw and pounce late. ABDICATOR was simply too bad to be true in the Hannan’s Handicap and expecting him to rebound. Likely leader WRINKLY comes back in grade on the quick back up, while ACTION is too good to be dismissed.

Tips: 5-4-2-6
Suggested: 5. WESTERN TEMPLE win.

5. WESTERN TEMPLE
4. ABDICATOR
2. WRINKLY
6. CLASSIC PRO

*Numbers amended after Final Scratchings

Race 4 – 2:25PM CONQUER CYSTIC FIBROSIS PLATE (1100 METRES)

Intense 3YO sprint with all nine acceptors natural on-pacers. Happy to stick with MASSIMO after he manufactured a victory against the older horses last Saturday, leading and showing his class late. Will relish the cover he’ll get in this assignment, and comfortable the 59.5kg won’t significantly impact his closing speed. MIA DOLCE was brave again last Saturday, facing the breeze outside leader and getting collared late. If she can rail in front, look out. SILKINIZE had a few things against him second up, he can bounce back, while DRINKWHATYOULIKE is coming off a gutsy 1000m win last week.

Tips: 1-2-5-6
Suggested: 1. MASSIMO win.

1. MASSIMO
2. MIA DOLCE
5. SILKINIZE
6. DRINKWHATYOULIKE

Race 5 – 3:10PM GLENROY CHAFF HANDICAP (1000 METRES)

Really challenging race to assess and with low confidence landed on METRO BOY. Does have some convictions, but thought his fresh 1100m effort was full of merit considering how quickly he rolled along out in front, and he does look suited down in grade and back to his preferred 1000m. Mapped him to land in the one-one, and gives this a shake from there. MCEDITH has been an excellent recruit by Gangemi Racing and she’s a major player fresh. BEAUTIFUL MIND is very talented and can win first up, but this trip is less than ideal, while no surprise to see STIRLING ESTATE compete well at decent odds.

Tips: 2-9-5-12
Suggested: 2. METRO BOY each way.

2. METRO BOY
9. MCEDITH
5. BEAUTIFUL MIND
12. STIRLING ESTATE

Race 6 – 3:40PM AMELIA PARK HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

Really keen on Kalgoorlie visitor SMARTY. Simply dominant in the Goldfields recently with three straight wins and looked every bit the city-class performer when carrying 59kg to a super-impressive win last Saturday. Capable of holding a midfield position from the low draw and with clear galloping room, should get it done. FORGOTTEN STAR was a moral beaten first up and is the obvious danger, but she’s going to need everything to go right from the draw. SON OF BACCHUS will be fitter and should relish this nice alley, expecting SOPHIE’S SONG to elevate, while BARAMAGIC could be the blowout.

Tips: 7-10-5-4
Suggested: 7. SMARTY win.

7. SMARTY
10. FORGOTTEN STAR
5. SON OF BACCHUS
4. SOPHIE’S SONG
13. BARAMAGIC

Race 7 – 4:10PM BALLPOINT CONSTRUCTION–FAIRETHA STAKES (1400 METRES)

Does look a race in two between outstanding duo JERICHO MISSILE and DIG DEEP, and while there’s very little between them, Jericho Missile appears most advantaged on the map. Couldn’t have been more impressive when coming from last to claim the Belgravia Stakes second up, unleashing with a stunning late burst. Drawn to land in a sweet position and does tick the most boxes. Expecting Dig Deep to be up for the challenge and just needs a reasonable run in transit to make things interesting. BOGART looms as the wildcard, he was strong late last start, while RED CAN MAN is loaded with talent.

Tips: 2-1-8-3
Suggested: 2. JERICHO MISSILE win.

2. JERICHO MISSILE
1. DIG DEEP
8. BOGART
3. RED CAN MAN

Race 8 – 4:50PM WAROA-LEE STEERE STAKES (1400 METRES)

Can’t wait to see how this plays out. Hard to go against ACHERNAR STAR after his Northerly Stakes performance, when simply massive in defeat, and he shouldn’t drift as far back on this occasion. Runner up last year, set to go one better. THE VELVET KING charged into Railway contention in the Northerly Stakes and was nice-and-sharp in a mid-prep Lark Hill 4/11 trial win. Suited from draw and loves the Ascot 1400m. If stablemate GATTING brings his best, he’ll win, but faces some challenges coming back from Melbourne, while first-upper ARCADIA PRINCE has a serious motor but bar plates are on.

Tips: 4-5-1-6
Suggested: 4. ACHERNAR STAR win.

4. ACHERNAR STAR
5. THE VELVET KING
1. GATTING
6. ARCADIA PRINCE

Race 9 – 5:25PM CROWN SPORTS BAR HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

The exciting UNI TIME faces his toughest test yet, but confident he can rise to meet the challenge. Was returning from a two-month break with a sizzling win two weeks back, clocking brilliant late sections in what was a particularly fast 1100m event. From this low draw, will be coiled up waiting for runs, and if the gaps appear he’s going to be very hard to hold out. Happy to forgive a good horse, so expecting DANCE MUSIC to rebound second up. Stablemate BEAT THE DEVIL is building towards a peak, while WHY CHOOSE HER and BARON BOSTOCK look set to drift back and swoop late.

Tips: 4-1-8-13
Suggested: 4. UNI TIME win.

4. UNI TIME
1. DANCE MUSIC
8. BEAT THE DEVIL
13. WHY CHOOSE HER
11. BARON BOSTOCK

**This edition of #TheLegUp by @thoroheadsWA originally published at 7:00am on Thursday 7 November 2019

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