Scott Embry’s tips provided courtesy of TABtouch blog
Saturday 13 January 2024
BIG SHOTS covered ground on debut and was wayward in the home straight under pressure when finishing second in the Crystal Slipper behind undefeated Parnham galloper Onemoretwomany. Went around a $5.50 chance at his second career outing when leading and fading out to be beaten just under 4L behind Define Beautiful and dual subsequent winner Sinful Living. Given a 5 week freshen and drops 2kg after the Luke Campbell claim. Looks an even contest and he’s not without a chance at double figures. LONDONS IMAGE backs up off 7 days after winning the Ryan Hill 2yo Plate last Saturday. That race was 6L slower than 2yo average so not convinced. POINT OF CONFLICT looked professional in her trial win. TAKE YOUR CHANCES debuts off a 400m jump out in typical Fernie fashion.
Numbers: 2 – 1 – 6 – 7
Suggested Bet – BIG SHOTS EACHWAY
SNIPPY WHICH won well in a lowly C1 at Bunbury last Sunday and on the 6 day back-up he drops 4.5kg in weight after the claim for Brayden Gaerth who is enjoying a good run of it at the minute. From the barrier he’ll be tucked away midfield with cover and he’s got a big motor underneath him. Dangerous should he get a crack at them. ROCKET JUICE still seems to float in his races. Last Saturday he was annihilated in betting ($4.20 into $2.30) and went from pulling, to under pressure, to fighting back to nailed on the post. He’s running his races in patches, he’s still working out what racing is all about but he’s got undeniable ability. Another great opportunity for him on the 7 day back-up. SILVER EYE will settle rearward and wind up with a big L600. Worth following. TAWKIN JIBBERISH rides the speed and kicks hard.
Numbers: 2 – 4 – 3 – 9
Suggested Bet – SNIPPY WHICH WIN
PENNY ON THE QUEEN threw it all away in the Mandurah Cup when missing the kick. She rattled home in the later stages and ran right through past the post. Senior rider goes back on and so consequently she’ll carry the full 59.5kg but she’s a winner with the weight previously and placed with 60. With the right run (and jumping cleanly) she’s a big chance in this. BONJOY trialled well for her return to racing over 1200m and found the line strongly late along the inside of horses. Second-up she gets out to 1400m which should be more suitable (2 of her 3 wins are at 1400) and she’s relatively lightly raced compared to the majority of these. Tends to get back in her races so just needs a nice flow into it. WITHOUT REG let rip last start with an impressive turn of foot to score. SNAZZLER looks ready.
Numbers: 4 – 8 – 2 – 5
Suggested Bet – PENNY ON THE QUEEN EACHWAY
REAR ADMIRAL has raced in higher grade at her last eight career outings, including winning and placing in 3 year old Plates, placing on two occasions in a 66+ grade and most recently placing in a 72+. While she hasn’t won this campaign she’s split Devine Belief and Costazita as well as finishing third behind talented 3 year olds Stormchaser and Hanchi. This is a great piece of placement by Sean & Jake Casey and she looks to get a lovely stalking run behind Bayezid/Avoidance/Trevern. ART OF SABRAGE finished second to Brave Venture last start and showed he has versatility. Should land in a very similar spot to Rear Admiral. COMIC HERO got the job done first-up off the back of a strong trial and drops 5.5kg. KEEP ATTACKING has blinkers going back on and all three wins are with shades.
Numbers: 1 – 4 – 9 – 6
Suggested Bet – REAR ADMIRAL WIN
SAN FABRIZIO won this track, distance and grade last start and meets an almost identical line-up of opponents. He held off the late charge of Speak To Me and was able to grind his way past Royal Gap. After the engagement of Brayden Gaerth he meets them all better at the weights and maps to get an identical run in transit. Makes him hard to toss. SPEAK TO ME was having his first run at 1800m and no doubt William Pike will have learnt a lot about him. He’s progressing nicely this time in. ROYAL GAP can bounce straight on the lead and control the race from there. KIA ORA JEWEL has come back to racing well this time in.
Numbers: 1 – 5 – 9 – 10
Suggested Bet – SAN FABRIZIO WIN
FLOWER IN THE WIND showed first-up that she could match it with them at this level when splitting Manhattan Strip and San Fabrizio. Went to 1800m second-up and nothing really got into the race at any stage. Third-up she drops back to 1600m, should hold a spot midfield behind a genuine tempo (Material Witness/He’s Gold/Never Sober/Ace Command) and this looks like an eachway the field job. One of a multitude of chances. CIVVY STREET never saw daylight last week when heavily backed. He’s 1 from 1 off the 7 day back-up and can sustain a run out wide. MATERIAL WITNESS comes back to a mile and has been a model of consistency this prep. THOROGOOD next best off a soft run.
Numbers: 9 – 1 – 3 – 8
Suggested Bet – FLOWER IN THE WIND EACHWAY
UPPER LIMITS interestingly wasn’t even nominated for the Easingwold Stakes last weekend but instead attacks this very suitable 72+ ratings race. First-up he finished third behind Saloon Bar and Street Parade at 1200, second-up he finished third behind Magnificent Andy and subsequent winner Cold Shizzle at 1400m and now third-up he drops back in grade and draws to get a gun run behind the speed. Main danger is likely to be on his back in running and it could come down to timing. METALLON was on trial at 1400m last start and charged to the line. He’ll likely stalk the every move of Upper Limits and look to zap him late. CORN COB is working into a bit of form and settles over the speed. BLAZING TYCOON can really ping off a soft run.
Numbers: 4 – 5 – 1 – 9
Suggested Bet – UPPER LIMITS WIN
WILD BELLE looks the one when you watch the replay of the Summer Scorcher. She looked like she was ready to explode when the gaps closed on her and was actually lucky to stay on her feet. Second-up she can make amends and the 1100m at Ascot has been her sweet spot so far in a short career. She’s got massive X-Factor and provided she’s come through the run well she should be too powerful for them. Can sit back and show a big turn of foot but is also capable of going forward and pouring the pressure on. REAL DANGER gets a 1.5kg weight swing on Ghost Who Walks for a small margin last start and can jump straight to the front. GHOST WHO WALKS is just a winner and has been in white hot form for months. ITSARAYDAY still has bars on which concerns but he had no luck fresh.
Numbers: 9 – 5 – 2 – 4
Suggested Bet – WILD BELLE WIN
ESPRIT GARCON is starting to attract a bit of national attention. He travels like a beast in running and then bolts up to them under little to no riding. He’s only won a maiden, a C1 and a C3 so far in his life so it’s easy to get carried away and this is clearly a big acid test with the likes of Duchess Of Gossip/Brave Venture engaged but expecting him to take the step from midweek to Saturday grade with success. Exciting horse. DUCHESS OF GOSSIP has to again carry 59kg from an awkward draw. She does however look to get the opportunity to roll forward and find a spot once Universal Flair breaks them open mid-race. Huge last start. BRAVE VENTURE is another great ride for in form apprentice Brayden Gaerth. Big fresh win. VIA MONTE has come back well.
Numbers: 7 – 1 – 4 – 9
Suggested Bet – ESPRIT GARCON WIN
Quaddie (Race 6 – 9)